TY - JOUR AU - Leo, Stefano De AU - Araújo, Manoel P. PY - 2021/07/30 Y2 - 2024/03/28 TI - A modelling study across the Italian regions: Lockdown, testing strategy, colored zones, and skew-normal distributions. How a numerical index of pandemic criticality could be useful in tackling the CoViD-19. JF - Jour Med Resh and Health Sci JA - jmrhs VL - 4 IS - 7 SE - ORIGINAL ARTICLES DO - 10.15520/jmrhs.v4i7.382 UR - https://jmrhs.info/index.php/jmrhs/article/view/382 SP - 1356-1376 AB - <p><strong>Background:</strong> As Europe is&nbsp; facing the&nbsp; second wave of the CoViD-19 pandemic, each country should carefully review how it&nbsp; dealt with&nbsp; the first wave of outbreak. Lessons from the first experience should be useful&nbsp; to avoid&nbsp; indiscriminate closures and, above all, to determine&nbsp; universal (understandable)&nbsp; parameters to guide the&nbsp; introduction of containment measures to reduce the spreading of the virus.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>The use of&nbsp; few (effective) parameters is indeed of extreme importance to create a link between authorities and population, allowing the latter to understand the reason for some restrictions and, consequently, to allow an active participation in the fight against the pandemic.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Testing strategies, fitting skew parameters (as mean, mode, standard deviation, and skewness), mortality rates,&nbsp; and&nbsp; weekly CoViD-19 spreading data, as more people are getting infected,&nbsp; were used to compare the first wave of the outbreak&nbsp; in the Italian regions and to determine which parameters have to be checked before introducing&nbsp; restrictive containment measures.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We propose few <em>universal</em> parameters that, once appropriately&nbsp; weighed, could&nbsp; be useful to correctly differentiate the pandemic situation in the national territory&nbsp; and to rapidly assign the properly pandemic risk to each region.</p><p>&nbsp;</p> ER -